Bitcoin Down This Week Amid Geopolitical Risks and ETF Outflows (June.27, 2026 | Column)

2026/06/27 19:58 (Updated 2026/06/27 20:16)
Kasou Nishi
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Bitcoin Down This Week Amid Geopolitical Risks and ETF Outflows (June.27, 2026 | Column)

AI Stock Slump and Quarterly Options Expiry Hit BTC Market: Will a Resolution of Supply-Demand Distortions Trigger a Rebound?

TradingView chart image
4-hour chart as of June 27(Source: TradingView)

Bitcoin (BTC) plummeted midweek, hitting its lowest level since September 2024 on June 25—a fresh 21-month low. As hype surrounding the global AI boom cooled down, a sell-off in tech stocks spread across risk assets, ultimately spilling over into the crypto market.

Beyond the correction in AI-related equities, several other headwinds fueled the decline. These included a retreat in safe-haven demand due to easing geopolitical risks surrounding the Strait of Hormuz, stalled progress on the U.S. Clarity Act, and a downward trend in the Bitcoin hash rate. This convergence of negative factors likely prompted short-term traders to aggressively unwind their positions, accelerating the drop.

Furthermore, June 26 was heavily eyed as Bitcoin's quarterly derivatives expiry (often referred to as the crypto "major SQ"), marking the simultaneous expiration of quarterly futures and major options contracts. Position adjustments ahead of this event likely amplified the recent price volatility.

However, after tapping the new low, market sentiment saw a modest recovery, led by semiconductor stocks following a strong earnings report from U.S. chip giant Micron. Moving forward, the key focus is on how quickly supply-demand distortions will clear up post-expiry, and whether a tech-driven recovery in risk appetite will take hold.

Recent Key Economic Indicators & Crypto Events

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Key Events (by Date)

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MAGAZINE
Iolite Vol.21

Iolite Vol.21

September 2026 issueReleased on 2026/07/30

Interview Richard Teng, Co-CEO, Binance Taisuke Isono, Head of Nikko Open Innovation Lab & DeFi Technology Department, SMBC Nikko Securities Inc. Hiroshi Kamiwaki, Director & Head of Crypto Asset Finance Business, Fintertech Co., Ltd. PHOTO & INTERVIEW Yusaku Nakano Feature Story: "Survival Strategies for Crypto Exchanges — The New Order Post-FIEA Transition" Interview Tomoyuki Isaka, President & Representative Director, CEO, Coincheck, Inc. Takaaki Fujiwara, Executive Vice President & Director, Mercury Inc. [Dialogue Series] The NISHI Talk: Crypto Conversations "Social Implementation Beyond Merely Holding Bitcoin" Kasou NISHI × Rintaro Kawai, President & Representative Director, ANAP HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Series: Tech and Future Toshinao Sasaki ...and more

MAGAZINE

Iolite Vol.21

September 2026 issueReleased on 2026/07/30
Interview Richard Teng, Co-CEO, Binance Taisuke Isono, Head of Nikko Open Innovation Lab & DeFi Technology Department, SMBC Nikko Securities Inc. Hiroshi Kamiwaki, Director & Head of Crypto Asset Finance Business, Fintertech Co., Ltd. PHOTO & INTERVIEW Yusaku Nakano Feature Story: "Survival Strategies for Crypto Exchanges — The New Order Post-FIEA Transition" Interview Tomoyuki Isaka, President & Representative Director, CEO, Coincheck, Inc. Takaaki Fujiwara, Executive Vice President & Director, Mercury Inc. [Dialogue Series] The NISHI Talk: Crypto Conversations "Social Implementation Beyond Merely Holding Bitcoin" Kasou NISHI × Rintaro Kawai, President & Representative Director, ANAP HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Series: Tech and Future Toshinao Sasaki ...and more