Latest Bitcoin Price Prediction Model Indicates a 75% Chance of Reaching $10 Million Within 6 Years

2025/08/13 16:38 (Updated 2025/08/14 08:01)
CoinPost
Written by L.Kikutani
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Latest Bitcoin Price Prediction Model Indicates a 75% Chance of Reaching $10 Million Within 6 Years

What are the forecast values with 75-95% probability?

On August 10, a research team led by economist Murray A. Ladd from Satoshi Action Education unveiled their latest Bitcoin (BTC) price prediction model. According to this model, there is a 75% chance that the price of Bitcoin will exceed $4.81 million by April 2036.

This study improves upon previous models by adopting the Epstein-Zin utility function, which separates investors' time preferences from price sensitivity. The team conducted 10,000 random draws using Monte Carlo simulations to achieve more precise price predictions.

Epstein-Zin Utility Function: A mathematical model used in economics...

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MAGAZINE

Iolite Vol.15

September 2025 issueReleased on 2025/07/30
Interview Iolite FACE vol.15 Avery Chin, co-founder and CEO of Aptos Labs PHOTO & INTERVIEW Tester Special feature: "How to master workplace relationships! Using MBTI", "Riding the waves of the 'first year of AI agents'!", "Is Bitcoin the savior of companies? The forefront of treasury strategies", "Management strategies learned from villains" Crypto Journey: "The intersection of Web 3.0 and social contribution" Interview with Gracie Chen, CEO of Bitget Series: "Expert perspectives on interpreting the fluctuating cryptocurrency market" Virtual NISHI Series: Tech and Future Toshinao Sasaki, etc.