Arthur Hayes Reiterates the End of Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle with the Fed's New RMP Funding Strategy

2025/12/21 13:34
CoinPost
Written by L.Kikutani
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Arthur Hayes Reiterates the End of Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle with the Fed's New RMP Funding Strategy

Reasserting the End of the 4-Year Cycle Theory

On the 19th, Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, analyzed the Federal Reserve Board’s (FRB) newly introduced Reserve Management Purchase (RMP) program, stating that the traditional 4-year cycle of Bitcoin (BTC) no longer applies and has ended. He argued that the RMP has a funding effect essentially equivalent to Quantitative Easing (QE).

Related: Arthur Hayes Claims the End of the 'Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle' Amid US-China Monetary Supply Focus

The RMP, a new policy tool announced at the FOMC meeting on December 10th, involves the FRB purchasing short-term government securities to supply reserves to the banking system.

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Iolite Vol.17

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MAGAZINE

Iolite Vol.17

January 2026 issueReleased on 2025/11/29
Interview with Andrea Baglioni, Head of Capital, Solana Foundation, Iolite FACE Vol. 17 PHOTO & INTERVIEW: Hiroaki Miyata Features: "How to Attend International Conferences" and "Predicting 2026: A Map of the Future of Crypto Assets at a Crossroads" Crypto Journey: "From FASTNAIL to a DAT Company: Convano's Financial Strategy for Holding 21,000 BTC" Interview with Taiyo Azuma, Director of Convano Inc. Series: "An Expert's Perspective on the Fluctuating Crypto Asset Market" by Kasou Nishi Series: Tech and Future by Toshinao Sasaki, etc.