"Current Cryptocurrency Market Not the Start but Potentially the End of Winter," Bitwise Analysis

2026/02/04 09:08 (Updated 2026/02/04 10:00)
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Written by K.Kobayashi
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"Current Cryptocurrency Market Not the Start but Potentially the End of Winter," Bitwise Analysis

Analysis of the Cryptocurrency Market

On the 2nd, Matt Hogan, Chief Investment Officer at cryptocurrency management firm Bitwise, released a regular memo indicating that the cryptocurrency market is currently in a full winter state, which he believes started in January 2025.

Looking at the past movements of Bitcoin (BTC) after 2017 and 2021, he pointed out that prices typically bottom out about 13 months after reaching their peak. He analyzed that the market is not at the beginning of a winter, but rather nearing its end.

This time, Mr. Hogan first noted that the current market, where Bitcoin has fallen 39% from its all-time high, represents an adjustment in the bull market or a temporary...

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MAGAZINE

Iolite Vol.18

March 2026 issueReleased on 2026/01/30
Interview: Iolite FACE vol.18 Takeshi Chino, Representative Director, Binance Japan PHOTO & INTERVIEW: Mai Shin Special Features: “Future Money — The Current State of Value Transfer” “Upcoming Amendments to Japan’s Crypto Asset Regulations” “The Reality of IEOs” Crypto Journey Beyond a Treasury Company: Becoming an Ethereum Evangelist — The Essence and Determination Behind HODL1’s Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) Strategy Interview with Hiroki Tahara, Representative Director, Kusim Inc. (now HODL1) Series: “Expert Perspectives on Interpreting Volatile Crypto Markets” — Kasou NISHI Series Tech and Future — Toshinao Sasaki …and more