K33 Analysis: 'A 40% Drop in Bitcoin Does Not Replicate the 2022 Crash'

2026/02/05 09:05
CoinPost
Written by L.Kikutani
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K33 Analysis: 'A 40% Drop in Bitcoin Does Not Replicate the 2022 Crash'

The Recurrence of the Four-Year Cycle Theory Emerges

Betre Lunde, Head of Research at cryptocurrency research firm K33, noted in a February 4 report that Bitcoin has dropped about 40% from its peak last October, including an 11% fall just last week. While the market has drawn parallels to the severe bear markets seen in 2018 and 2022, Lunde analyzed that a complete replication of past cycles will not occur.

Although Lunde declared the end of the 'four-year cycle' last October, he acknowledged recent price trends showing 'disturbing similarities' to the significant drops of 2018 and 2022. However, he cited the expanded adoption by institutional investors, inflows into regulated financial products, and a loose financial environment...

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MAGAZINE

Iolite Vol.18

March 2026 issueReleased on 2026/01/30
Interview: Iolite FACE vol.18 Takeshi Chino, Representative Director, Binance Japan PHOTO & INTERVIEW: Mai Shin Special Features: “Future Money — The Current State of Value Transfer” “Upcoming Amendments to Japan’s Crypto Asset Regulations” “The Reality of IEOs” Crypto Journey Beyond a Treasury Company: Becoming an Ethereum Evangelist — The Essence and Determination Behind HODL1’s Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) Strategy Interview with Hiroki Tahara, Representative Director, Kusim Inc. (now HODL1) Series: “Expert Perspectives on Interpreting Volatile Crypto Markets” — Kasou NISHI Series Tech and Future — Toshinao Sasaki …and more