Extreme Volatility: Geopolitical Risks Clash with FOMC Signals
4-hour chart as of March 20(Source: TradingView)
Early in the week, BTC extended its rally into the $70,000 range. This momentum was fueled by Bitcoin’s re-emergence as a "stateless asset" (sovereign-neutral asset) amidst the prolonged escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Support also came from a pullback in WTI crude oil futures, which dropped to the low $90s for the first time in four sessions following reports regarding tanker passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Historically, high oil prices have acted as a drag on Bitcoin’s upside by driving up electricity costs for miners; as this pressure eased, the upward trend became more pronounced.
However, the tide turned in the latter half of the week as BTC retreated to the $60,000 level. The catalyst for this reversal was Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks following the FOMC meeting.
While the Fed held interest rates steady, Powell noted that "short-term inflation expectations have ticked up, reflecting significant increases in oil prices." This reignited fears of a "higher-for-longer" monetary policy, sending U.S. Treasury yields higher.
As a non-yielding asset, Bitcoin was forced into a sell-off. Ultimately, the week underscored Bitcoin’s inherent volatility, driven by the complex intersection of geopolitical risk and monetary policy.
Recent Key Economic Indicators & Crypto Events
Key Events (Chronological Order)
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Interview Iolite FACE vol.19 Yuichiro Tamaki, Leader of the Democratic Party for the People
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MAGAZINE
Iolite Vol.19
May 2026 issueReleased on 2026/03/30
Interview Iolite FACE vol.19 Yuichiro Tamaki, Leader of the Democratic Party for the People
PHOTO & INTERVIEW by Hasen Kuniyama
Special Features:
“Web3.0 The Impact Award 2026”
“Global Money Loses Its Master”
“The Current State of Robotics Technology”
[Dialogue Series] The NISHI Talk: Crypto Conversations “The Changing Crypto Landscape, and the Unchanging Strategies of Traders”
Kasou NISHI × European]
Series: Tech and Future by Toshinao Sasaki, and more