An expert's perspective on the fluctuating cryptocurrency market: Kasou Nishi Vol. 1

2025/07/30 10:22 (Updated 2026/01/22 10:45)
Kasou Nishi
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An expert's perspective on the fluctuating cryptocurrency market: Kasou Nishi Vol. 1

Increasing awareness of the "gap between policy expectations and reality"; Bitcoin investment by companies is also a focus of attention at present

Q: The Bitcoin market is affected by various factors and has seen frequent fluctuations recently. First, please give us a look back at the market in June.

Kasou NISHI: The Bitcoin market experienced a highly sensitive month in June, fluctuating between $100,000 and $110,000. This was driven by a complex interplay of factors, including rising geopolitical risk, expectations regarding U.S. cryptocurrency policy, and a sensitive reaction to macroeconomic indicators.

As of early June, Bitcoin was hovering around $108,000, but tensions in the Middle East escalated toward mid-June. In particular, rising military tensions between Iran and Israel became a focus of attention, leading to risk-averse flows into Bitcoin, which is increasingly playing a role as "digital gold." At one point, the price even surpassed $110,000.

Subsequently, in late June, positive expectations regarding U.S. cryptocurrency policy provided support. Specifically, President Trump's supportive comments about cryptocurrencies and a cryptocurrency tax cut bill introduced by Senator Cynthia Lummis and others were seen as factors that improved market sentiment. As a result, Bitcoin resumed its upward trend, and at the end of the month it even recovered to the $110,000 range for the fourth time this year.

Furthermore, in the latter half of June, when geopolitical risks had receded to a certain extent, Bitcoin's nature as a "risk asset" linked to the rise in the US stock market became more apparent.

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March 2026 issueReleased on 2026/01/30
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