Bitcoin Sees Sharp Volatility as Markets Remain Wary of CPI and BOJ Rate Hike Signals

2025/12/18 16:15
Shogo Kurobe
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Bitcoin Sees Sharp Volatility as Markets Remain Wary of CPI and BOJ Rate Hike Signals

Crypto Prices Move in Tandem With U.S. Market Trends

The cryptocurrency market experienced sharp volatility on the 18th. Bitcoin (BTC) briefly approached a drop below $85,000 (approximately ¥13.2 million), while altcoins across the board posted significant declines. Although prices have shown a modest recovery at the time of writing, a cautious, wait-and-see sentiment remains strong.

In U.S. markets on the 17th, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller appeared on CNBC and commented that there is “room for further rate cuts,” briefly lifting market sentiment. However, concerns soon resurfaced after uncertainty emerged over discussions surrounding Oracle’s potential investment in AI data centers, triggering a sharp decline in Oracle’s stock. The sell-off spread to other major technology stocks, dragging down key indices such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, closely tracked movements in U.S. equities throughout the session. As investor sentiment deteriorated and risk-off behavior accelerated, crypto prices followed suit and declined.

Regarding Bitcoin specifically, some analysts point to increased selling by long-term holders, as well as capital outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs—particularly among institutional investors—as signs of weakening demand. In addition, with the Christmas holiday period approaching in Europe and the U.S., market liquidity may decline further in the coming days.

Markets Focus on U.S. CPI and Bank of Japan Policy Outlook

Attention is now turning to the release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) scheduled for the 18th. Although a 0.25% rate cut was recently implemented, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that future rate decisions will be made “meeting by meeting.” Divisions within the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) over the pace of rate cuts have become more pronounced, and with Powell’s term set to end in May 2026, uncertainty surrounding the path of monetary policy remains high.

Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan’s policy meeting is scheduled for the 19th, with speculation growing over a potential rate hike. Such a move could increase volatility not only in traditional financial markets but also in the cryptocurrency market.

At present, the crypto market appears to be in a holding pattern, awaiting the outcomes of both the U.S. CPI data and the BOJ policy meeting. While price action remains cautious, heightened volatility cannot be ruled out depending on the results, warranting continued vigilance among market participants.

Image: Shutterstock

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Iolite Vol.17

Iolite Vol.17

January 2026 issueReleased on 2025/11/29

Interview with Andrea Baglioni, Head of Capital, Solana Foundation, Iolite FACE Vol. 17 PHOTO & INTERVIEW: Hiroaki Miyata Features: "How to Attend International Conferences" and "Predicting 2026: A Map of the Future of Crypto Assets at a Crossroads" Crypto Journey: "From FASTNAIL to a DAT Company: Convano's Financial Strategy for Holding 21,000 BTC" Interview with Taiyo Azuma, Director of Convano Inc. Series: "An Expert's Perspective on the Fluctuating Crypto Asset Market" by Kasou Nishi Series: Tech and Future by Toshinao Sasaki, etc.

MAGAZINE

Iolite Vol.17

January 2026 issueReleased on 2025/11/29
Interview with Andrea Baglioni, Head of Capital, Solana Foundation, Iolite FACE Vol. 17 PHOTO & INTERVIEW: Hiroaki Miyata Features: "How to Attend International Conferences" and "Predicting 2026: A Map of the Future of Crypto Assets at a Crossroads" Crypto Journey: "From FASTNAIL to a DAT Company: Convano's Financial Strategy for Holding 21,000 BTC" Interview with Taiyo Azuma, Director of Convano Inc. Series: "An Expert's Perspective on the Fluctuating Crypto Asset Market" by Kasou Nishi Series: Tech and Future by Toshinao Sasaki, etc.