Crypto Market Surges Across the Board — Will Capital Inflows Accelerate After the FOMC?

2025/12/10 17:36
Shogo Kurobe
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Crypto Market Surges Across the Board — Will Capital Inflows Accelerate After the FOMC?

Market Boosted by Expectations for a Rate Cut Ahead of FOMC

The cryptocurrency market saw broad gains on the 10th. Bitcoin (BTC) broke above $90,000 (approx. ¥14.1 million) and briefly touched $94,000 (approx. ¥14.7 million) before stabilizing around $92,500 (approx. ¥14.5 million) at the time of writing.

While equity markets softened ahead of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meetings held on the 9th and 10th, crypto assets moved in the opposite direction, rising ahead of the macro event.
Initially, forecasts suggested that the Fed would likely avoid a rate cut at this meeting. However, signs of a slowing labor market shifted market sentiment. Current expectations now indicate about a 90% probability of a 0.25% rate cut, which has provided a supportive backdrop for the crypto market.

Among major assets, Ethereum (ETH) has been particularly strong. The surge follows BlackRock’s filing for an Ethereum staking ETF, along with rising institutional interest driven by anticipated long-term demand for Ethereum.

Potential for Sharp Volatility Depending on FOMC Outcome

Should the FOMC surprise markets by keeping rates unchanged, volatility in crypto assets could spike sharply.
U.S. interest rate decisions also affect tech stocks—an asset class often correlated with crypto—which means movements in equities could partially spill over into the cryptocurrency market as well.

Image: Shutterstock

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Iolite Vol.18

Iolite Vol.18

March 2026 issueReleased on 2026/01/30

Interview: Iolite FACE vol.18 Takeshi Chino, Representative Director, Binance Japan PHOTO & INTERVIEW: Mai Shin Special Features: “Future Money — The Current State of Value Transfer” “Upcoming Amendments to Japan’s Crypto Asset Regulations” “The Reality of IEOs” Crypto Journey Beyond a Treasury Company: Becoming an Ethereum Evangelist — The Essence and Determination Behind HODL1’s Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) Strategy Interview with Hiroki Tahara, Representative Director, Kusim Inc. (now HODL1) Series: “Expert Perspectives on Interpreting Volatile Crypto Markets” — Kasou NISHI Series Tech and Future — Toshinao Sasaki …and more

MAGAZINE

Iolite Vol.18

March 2026 issueReleased on 2026/01/30
Interview: Iolite FACE vol.18 Takeshi Chino, Representative Director, Binance Japan PHOTO & INTERVIEW: Mai Shin Special Features: “Future Money — The Current State of Value Transfer” “Upcoming Amendments to Japan’s Crypto Asset Regulations” “The Reality of IEOs” Crypto Journey Beyond a Treasury Company: Becoming an Ethereum Evangelist — The Essence and Determination Behind HODL1’s Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) Strategy Interview with Hiroki Tahara, Representative Director, Kusim Inc. (now HODL1) Series: “Expert Perspectives on Interpreting Volatile Crypto Markets” — Kasou NISHI Series Tech and Future — Toshinao Sasaki …and more